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Corinthians U20 vs Athletico-PR U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthians U20 play Athletico-PR U20 in the Brasileiro U20. Athletico-PR U20 are favorites here. Recently, Corinthians U20 averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Athletico-PR U20 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Corinthians U20 won 0, Athletico-PR U20 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Corinthians U20 and 1.00 for Athletico-PR U20. This points to a Athletico-PR U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Corinthians U20
25%
Draws
60%
Athletico-PR U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Athletico-PR U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthians U20 picked up more points recently compared to Athletico-PR U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Athletico-PR U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Athletico-PR U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.46 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Athletico-PR U20
1:4
May 7, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Corinthians U20
4:0
Aug 21, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Corinthians U20
5:0
Jun 5, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Athletico-PR U20
0:1
Oct 4, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Athletico-PR U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Christian Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Athletico-PR U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaue Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Amorim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 18 / 100
Athletico-PR U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Athletico-PR U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Athletico-PR U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Corinthians U20 attacking → ← attacking Athletico-PR U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U20 scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Athletico-PR U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Corinthians U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Athletico-PR U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 60
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515