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Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Pellegrin
70' Event
Heittor Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Corinthians U20 host Palmeiras U20 in the Brasileiro U20. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Corinthians U20 have averaged 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Palmeiras U20's 3.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Palmeiras U20 slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.06) back Palmeiras U20 to edge this. Palmeiras U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Corinthians U20
33%
Draws
40%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Corinthians U20.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Palmeiras U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Brasileiro U20 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 21
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
May 19, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
3:0
Apr 24, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Heittor Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 26 / 100
Palmeiras U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Palmeiras U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Palmeiras U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Corinthians U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palmeiras U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U20 VS Palmeiras U20
1.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515