Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20

Sertaozinho U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Corinthians U20 play Sertaozinho U20 in the Paulista U20. Corinthians U20 are favorites here. Recently, Corinthians U20 averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Sertaozinho U20 averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Corinthians U20 won 2, Sertaozinho U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.27 for Corinthians U20 and 0.72 for Sertaozinho U20. This points to a Corinthians U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Corinthians U20

18%

Draws

20%

Sertaozinho U20

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Corinthians U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Corinthians U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sertaozinho U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 0.72 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 27%

Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Corinthians U20	Sertaozinho U20
Matches Played	44	30
Wins	24	7
Draws	9	4
Losses	11	19
Goals Scored	1.7	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista U20

Corinthians U20 vs Sertaozinho U20

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Apr 27, 2025 Paulista U20

Sertaozinho U20 vs Corinthians U20

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Eduardo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Sertaozinho U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18

Avg xA / game 0.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 61 / 100

Sertaozinho U20 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Corinthians U20 Sertaozinho U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Corinthians U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Corinthians U20 attacking → ← attacking Sertaozinho U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U20 scored in 77% of their last 44 games.

Sertaozinho U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Corinthians U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sertaozinho U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

81 Points in last 5 25

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.20

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.80

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	4	3	1	0	8:1	10
2	Corinthians U20	4	3	1	0	4:0	10
3	CA Juventus U20	4	3	0	1	12:4	9
4	Santos U20	4	2	2	0	4:0	8
5	Portuguesa U20	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
6	Ponte Preta U20	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
7	Jabaquara U20	4	2	0	2	3:3	6
8	Portuguesa Santista U20	4	2	0	2	8:10	6
9	Sao Bento U20	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
10	Uniao Suzano U20	4	1	1	2	4:7	4
11	Sertaozinho U20	4	1	1	2	1:4	4
12	Itapirense U20	4	1	0	3	5:9	3
13	Mirassol U20	4	0	1	3	3:8	1
14	America SP U20	4	0	0	4	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	4	4	0	0	14:2	12
2	Osasco Sporting U20	4	4	0	0	9:5	12
3	Desportivo U20	5	4	0	1	6:3	12
4	Sao Paulo U20	4	3	1	0	7:0	10
5	Uniao Sao Joao U20	5	1	3	1	4:3	6
6	Novorizontino U20	5	1	2	2	7:6	5
7	Paulinense U20	5	1	2	2	5:7	5
8	EC Sao Bernardo U20	4	1	2	1	4:6	5
9	Aguai U20	5	1	2	2	5:10	5
10	Santo Andre U20	5	1	1	3	6:7	4
11	Bandeirante U20	5	1	1	3	3:8	4
12	Piracicaba U20	5	0	4	1	4:6	4
13	Sao Caetano U20	5	1	0	4	5:10	3
14	Botafogo SP U20	4	0	3	1	4:5	3
15	Velo Clube U20	5	0	3	2	2:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	4	4	0	0	9:0	12
2	Bragantino U20	4	4	0	0	12:4	12
3	Guarani U20	4	3	0	1	7:4	9
4	Agua Santa U20	5	2	2	1	10:6	8
5	Gremio Prudente U20	4	2	1	1	5:5	7
6	XV de Jau U20	5	2	1	2	4:6	7
7	Sfera U20	5	2	0	3	9:6	6
8	Flamengo SP U20	5	2	0	3	5:7	6
9	Ituano U20	4	1	3	0	6:5	6
10	Capivariano U20	5	1	3	1	5:6	6
11	Tanabi U20	5	1	2	2	7:8	5
12	Osasco Audax U20	5	1	2	2	3:5	5
13	Maua FC U20	5	1	2	2	3:9	5
14	Referencia U20	5	0	1	4	4:11	1
15	Porto Football U20	5	0	1	4	0:7	1