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Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Andrey Fernandes
45'
Bahia
45'
Bahia

AI Match Summary

Corinthians U20 host Vasco U20 in the Brasileiro U20. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Corinthians U20 at 1.88 goals for, 0.88 against; Vasco U20 at 0.71 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Vasco U20 slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.79) back Vasco U20 to edge this. Vasco U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Corinthians U20
22%
Draws
18%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Corinthians U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Corinthians U20.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Corinthians U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Brasileiro U20 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.88 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Jun 25, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Jan 20, 2025 Copinha
Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20
1:0
Jul 31, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Jul 11, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Corinthians U20 vs Vasco U20
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 58 / 100
Vasco U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Vasco U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Corinthians U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vasco U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U20 VS Vasco U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515