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Stadium Background

Corinthians vs Botafogo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthians host Botafogo RJ in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Botafogo RJ have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Corinthians have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Botafogo RJ slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Botafogo RJ to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Corinthians
30%
Draws
41%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Corinthians's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 16%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Botafogo RJ vs Corinthians
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie A
Corinthians vs Botafogo RJ
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Serie A
Botafogo RJ vs Corinthians
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie A
Botafogo RJ vs Corinthians
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Serie A
Corinthians vs Botafogo RJ
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians 41 / 100
Botafogo RJ 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Botafogo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Corinthians stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians VS Botafogo RJ
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians

(Home)
05 Nov
Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Corinthians
30 Oct
Corinthians
2 : 0
Mirassol
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2
Corinthians
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1
Vitoria
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Corinthians
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Botafogo RJ

(Away)
05 Nov
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Atletico-MG
29 Oct
Remo
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ
24 Oct
Internacional
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1
Botafogo RJ
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)