Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Breno Bidon
41'
Palacios T.
45'
Gonzalez Pirez L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Corinthians
30%
Draws
62%
Estudiantes L.P.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Estudiantes L.P.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estudiantes L.P. a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Estudiantes L.P. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes L.P., who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 16%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1
Sep 10, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1:1
Aug 30, 2023 Copa Sudamericana
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1:1
Aug 23, 2023 Copa Sudamericana
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians 15 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians Estudiantes L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Estudiantes L.P. conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Corinthians went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians VS Estudiantes L.P.
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians

(Home)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Estudiantes L.P.

(Away)
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -