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Corinthians vs Rosario Central Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Corinthians Logo

Corinthians

1 - 0
FT
Rosario Central Logo

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Raniele
58'
Raniele
70'
Sub
Pedro Raul In: Depay M.
Out: Pedro Raul
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Corinthians
20%
Draws
73%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosario Central lately — more wins on the board than Corinthians.
  • Rosario Central are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Rosario Central arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 24%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians Rosario Central
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
1:0
Aug 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
0:0
May 9, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
4:2
May 3, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Bidon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Rosario Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians 17 / 100
Rosario Central 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corinthians scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Rosario Central has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Corinthians remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians VS Rosario Central
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians

(Home)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -