Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corinthians W vs Bahia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Corinthians W Logo

Corinthians W

1 - 0
FT
Bahia W Logo

Bahia W

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Gi Fernandes
24'
Dan
28'
Rosario R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Corinthians W
15%
Draws
32%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians W have won more games recently than Bahia W.
  • Win probability leans Corinthians W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Corinthians W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Corinthians W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 16%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Bahia W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 14
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Bahia W
1:0
Sep 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Bahia W
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bahia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 39 / 100
Bahia W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Corinthians W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bahia W let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Bahia W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Aug
Corinthians W
6 : 2
Taubate W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 2
Corinthians W 1