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Corinthians W vs Caracas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. Corinthians W go into this one as the clear favorite. Caracas W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Corinthians W have conceded 0.85 and scored 2.52. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.54 - 0.75) back Corinthians W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corinthians W
25%
Draws
35%
Caracas W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corinthians W lately — more wins on the board than Caracas W.
  • Win probability leans Corinthians W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Corinthians W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 20%
Caracas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Caracas W
Matches Played 33 1
Wins 22 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 2.52 0
Goals Conceded 0.85 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 40 / 100
Caracas W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Caracas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Caracas W conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

Corinthians W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Caracas W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Caracas W
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 7

Caracas W

(Away)
05 Feb
Caracas W
0 : 1
Atl. Venezuela W

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)