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Corinthians W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Neo Quimica Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthians W play Santos W in the Paulista Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Corinthians W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Santos W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Corinthians W won 3, Santos W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Corinthians W and 0.94 for Santos W. This points to a Corinthians W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Corinthians W
6%
Draws
4%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthians W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santos W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Corinthians W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Santos W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:0
May 14, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Corinthians W
0:3
Jun 6, 2024 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:1
Apr 12, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Corinthians W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Erika
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabi Zanotti
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carol Baiana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Analuyza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 95 / 100
Santos W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Santos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Santos W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Corinthians W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santos W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Santos W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria W33008:29
2Corinthians W31119:44
3Palmeiras W31116:24
4Taubate W21103:14
5Bragantino W31112:74
6Sao Paulo W21012:23
7Santos W30213:42
8Mirassol W30030:110