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Corinthians W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Carol Baiana
21' Event
Erika
58' Event
Gabi Zanotti

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Corinthians W and Santos W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Corinthians W
15%
Draws
24%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians W come out ahead of Santos W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Corinthians W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Santos W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.45 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.03 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
4:1
May 21, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:0
May 14, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Corinthians W
0:3
Jun 6, 2024 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Erika
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabi Zanotti
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 1.01

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carol Baiana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Analuyza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 68 / 100
Santos W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corinthians W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Corinthians W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Santos W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Santos W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Aug
Corinthians W
6 : 2
Taubate W
Page 1 of 6

Santos W

(Away)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)