Sport Picks
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba 
Match Events
14'
14'
Luiz Gustavo
Assist: Esquivel L.
28'
28'
Lavega J.
30'
30'
Arthur Dias
Assist: Cruz J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Coritiba and Athletico-PR finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletico-PR
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Athletico-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Coritiba taking it.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR
3:3
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Serie B
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Moledo
2 Goals Assists Leader Tiago Coser
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Gustavo
1 Goals Assists Leader Arthur Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 50 / 100
Athletico-PR 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Athletico-PR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coritiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletico-PR let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Coritiba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Athletico-PR
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0 Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3 Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 3
Athletico-PR
(Away) 20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1 Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3 Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3 Athletico-PR
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2 Athletico-PR
06 Aug
Vitoria
4 : 0 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
