Sport Picks
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba 
Match Events
14'
14'
Luiz Gustavo
Assist: Esquivel L.
28'
28'
Lavega J.
30'
30'
Arthur Dias
Assist: Cruz J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Coritiba and Athletico-PR finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Athletico-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Coritiba taking it.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie A
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR
3:3
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie B
Coritiba vs Athletico-PR
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Serie B
Athletico-PR vs Coritiba
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Moledo
2 Goals Assists Leader Tiago Coser
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Luiz Gustavo
1 Goals Assists Leader Arthur Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 50 / 100
Athletico-PR 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Athletico-PR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coritiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletico-PR let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Athletico-PR has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Coritiba scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Athletico-PR
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0 Coritiba
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0 Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
17 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Coritiba
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0 Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
Page 1 of 3
Athletico-PR
(Away) 04 Nov
Athletico-PR
1 : 3 Vasco
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0 Athletico-PR
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1 Athletico-PR
17 Oct
Athletico-PR
0 : 2 Palmeiras
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Gremio
2 : 0 Athletico-PR
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1 Athletico-PR
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4 Athletico-PR
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
