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Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coritiba host Botafogo RJ in the Serie A Betano. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Coritiba at 1.21 goals for, 1.54 against; Botafogo RJ at 1.48 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Coritiba have won 1 to Botafogo RJ's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Botafogo RJ. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
29%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coritiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 18%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Coritiba
2:2
Nov 30, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Coritiba
4:1
Sep 17, 2022 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Coritiba
2:0
May 29, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 32 / 100
Botafogo RJ 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Botafogo RJ let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Coritiba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Botafogo RJ
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo RJ

(Away)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 28 12 7 9 37:32 43
8 Santos 28 11 8 9 43:41 41
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Sao Paulo 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
11 Bragantino 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)