Sport Picks
Coritiba vs Corinthians
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba 
Match Events
40'
40'
Pedro Rocha
Assist: Joao Pedro Chermont
42'
42'
Thiago Santos
42'
42'
Breno Bidon
AI Match Summary
Coritiba in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coritiba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coritiba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Corinthians lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba.
- Model gives Coritiba a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 16%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Corinthians
2:1
Mar 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Coritiba
0:2
Dec 7, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Corinthians
0:2
Aug 13, 2023 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Coritiba
3:1
Nov 9, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Corinthians
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Rocha
1 Goals Assists Leader Paulo Roberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Corinthians Compare
Top Goalscorer Raniele
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 41 / 100
Corinthians 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Corinthians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coritiba's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Corinthians let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Coritiba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Corinthians
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0 Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3 Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 3
Corinthians
(Away) 17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Corinthians
0 : 1 Santos
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 Corinthians
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
14 Aug
Rosario Central
0 : 0 Corinthians
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2 Corinthians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
