Sport Picks
Coritiba vs Corinthians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba 
Match Events
40'
40'
Pedro Rocha
Assist: Joao Pedro Chermont
42'
42'
Thiago Santos
42'
42'
Breno Bidon
AI Match Summary
Coritiba in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coritiba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Corinthians lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 16%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie A
Coritiba vs Corinthians
2:1
Mar 12, 2026 Serie A
Corinthians vs Coritiba
0:2
Dec 7, 2023 Serie A
Coritiba vs Corinthians
0:2
Aug 13, 2023 Serie A
Corinthians vs Coritiba
3:1
Nov 9, 2022 Serie A
Coritiba vs Corinthians
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Rocha
1 Goals Assists Leader Paulo Roberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Corinthians Compare
Top Goalscorer Raniele
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 31 / 100
Corinthians 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Corinthians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coritiba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Corinthians let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Corinthians's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Corinthians
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0 Coritiba
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0 Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
17 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 Coritiba
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0 Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1 Gremio
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1 Botafogo RJ
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
Page 1 of 3
Corinthians
(Away) 30 Oct
Corinthians
2 : 0 Mirassol
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2 Corinthians
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1 Vitoria
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1 Corinthians
07 Oct
Internacional
2 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2 Corinthians
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1 Corinthians
07 Oct
Internacional
2 : 1 Corinthians
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 Corinthians
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
