Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba vs Foz do Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Coritiba Logo

Coritiba

2 - 3
FT
Foz do Iguacu Logo

Foz do Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Daniel Oliveira
16'
Sub
Lucas Crepaldi In: Brayan Gravelo
Out: Lucas Crepaldi
27' Event
Lucas Alves
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Foz do Iguacu in this Paranaense matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foz do Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
37%
Foz do Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Foz do Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Foz do Iguacu have won more games recently than Coritiba.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 15%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Foz do Iguacu
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Foz do Iguacu
2:3
Jan 19, 2023 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Coritiba
0:3
Jan 20, 2019 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Coritiba
0:4
Mar 11, 2018 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Foz do Iguacu
1:3
Feb 18, 2018 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Coritiba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Brayan Gravelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Aquino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Foz do Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Alves
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Peixoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 35 / 100
Foz do Iguacu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Foz do Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foz do Iguacu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Coritiba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Foz do Iguacu has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Coritiba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Foz do Iguacu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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Foz do Iguacu

(Away)
27 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
1 : 0
Athletico-PR B
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 2
Londrina B
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Londrina 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Foz do Iguacu 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Athletico-PR 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
4 Sao Joseense 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
5 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
6 FC Cascavel 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azuriz 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
2 Coritiba 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Cianorte 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
4 Operario-PR 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
5 Clube Andraus Brasil 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
6 Galo Maringa 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
Promotion - Paranaense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense (Relegation - Play Offs)