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Coritiba vs Santos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Wed, Nov 18, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coritiba host Santos in the Serie A. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Coritiba have averaged 1.09 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Santos's 1.58 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Santos slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.00) point toward Santos. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
39%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Santos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Santos
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.09 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A
Santos vs Coritiba
0:3
May 13, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Copa do Brasil
Santos vs Coritiba
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Coritiba vs Santos
1:4
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 30 / 100
Santos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Coritiba remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Santos
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0
Coritiba
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0
Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1
Gremio
17 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Coritiba
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 7

Santos

(Away)
02 Nov
Bragantino
2 : 1
Santos
28 Oct
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1
Bahia
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Santos
11 Oct
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Santos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 34 16 9 9 55:42 57
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 34 10 8 16 35:51 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)