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Coritiba vs Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Pedro Rocha
62'
Britez E.
67'
Sub
Britez E. In: Matheuzinho
Out: Britez E.

AI Match Summary

Coritiba in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coritiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
39%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba.
  • Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Vitoria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Serie A
Coritiba vs Vitoria
2:0
May 2, 2026 Serie A
Vitoria vs Coritiba
4:1
Sep 22, 2021 Serie B
Vitoria vs Coritiba
0:0
Jun 23, 2021 Serie B
Coritiba vs Vitoria
1:0
Nov 30, 2019 Serie B
Vitoria vs Coritiba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Rocha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tinga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 26 / 100
Vitoria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Vitoria let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Coritiba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Vitoria
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0
Vitoria
26 Oct
Coritiba
0 : 1
Gremio
17 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Coritiba
12 Oct
Coritiba
1 : 1
Botafogo RJ
09 Oct
Fluminense
4 : 0
Coritiba
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Vitoria

(Away)
31 Oct
Coritiba
2 : 0
Vitoria
24 Oct
Vitoria
1 : 1
Athletico-PR
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1
Vitoria
11 Oct
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Vitoria
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 34 23 7 4 71:29 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21 10 3 62:23 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18 6 10 55:48 60
4 Fluminense 33 15 9 9 52:42 54
5 Athletico-PR 34 15 9 10 51:43 54
6 Bahia 34 14 11 9 50:45 53
7 Atletico-MG 34 14 8 12 44:40 50
8 Bragantino 34 13 8 13 44:39 47
9 Santos 34 12 11 11 50:49 47
10 Sao Paulo 34 12 8 14 39:39 44
11 Botafogo RJ 34 11 9 14 46:53 42
12 Coritiba 34 11 9 14 40:51 42
13 Vasco 33 11 8 14 43:50 41
14 Mirassol 34 10 10 14 39:48 40
15 Vitoria 33 10 8 15 35:48 38
16 Internacional 34 9 11 14 38:42 38
17 Corinthians 34 9 10 15 36:42 37
18 Gremio 34 9 10 15 38:47 37
19 Remo 34 6 11 17 37:57 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 33 4 9 20 33:68 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)