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Cork City vs Finn Harps

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Nevin H. In: Bridge A.
Out: Nevin H.
16' Event
Keating R.
45'
Crowley D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Cork City and Finn Harps finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cork City
44%
Draws
20%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Finn Harps haven't matched Cork City's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cork City Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
4:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
2:2
Jul 20, 2024 FAI Cup
Cork City vs Finn Harps
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Keating R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mpongo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 36 / 100
Finn Harps 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Finn Harps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cork City scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Finn Harps let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Finn Harps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Finn Harps
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822