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Cork City vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Murphy C.
24'
Okwute D.
33' Event
Bargary C.

AI Match Summary

Cork City in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cork City
20%
Draws
42%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cork City have won more games recently than Kerry.
  • Model gives Cork City a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cork City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cork City Clean Sheet 16%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Kerry
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.18 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
3:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Cork City
1:0
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Kerry
4:2
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Cork City vs Kerry
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Kerry vs Cork City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Drinan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maguire S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Bargary C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 66 / 100
Kerry 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cork City scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Kerry let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cork City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Kerry
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
5 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
6 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
7 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)