Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cork City vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cork City play UC Dublin in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cork City averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. UC Dublin averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Cork City won 3, UC Dublin won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Cork City and 1.06 for UC Dublin. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cork City
24%
Draws
27%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Cork City picked up more points recently compared to UC Dublin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Cork City Clean Sheet 22%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
3:1
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1
Jun 3, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
0:0
Apr 12, 2024 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpongo H.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

UC Dublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Behan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 49 / 100
UC Dublin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City UC Dublin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cork City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cork City attacking → ← attacking UC Dublin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

UC Dublin let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Cork City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UC Dublin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 41
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City22173243:1154
2UC Dublin22113836:2136
3Bray2297640:3034
4Cobh Ramblers2294925:3031
5Longford2277823:2728
6Wexford2276925:3027
7Kerry2267922:2725
8Athlone22661019:2724
9Finn Harps22571020:3722
10Treaty United22481021:3420