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Cormelles W vs Gravelines W

France France

Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cormelles W play Gravelines W in the Division 2 Women 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cormelles W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Gravelines W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 3.23 conceded. In past meetings, Cormelles W won 0, Gravelines W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 25, 2012 ended 5:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Cormelles W and 1.56 for Gravelines W. This points to a Cormelles W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cormelles W
24%
Draws
31%
Gravelines W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Cormelles W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Cormelles W picked up more points recently compared to Gravelines W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Cormelles W Clean Sheet 15%
Gravelines W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cormelles W Gravelines W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.27 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Cormelles W vs Gravelines W
5:5
Oct 2, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Gravelines W vs Cormelles W
3:2
Mar 27, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Cormelles W vs Gravelines W
0:0
Nov 20, 2010 Seconde Ligue Women
Gravelines W vs Cormelles W
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cormelles W 44 / 100
Gravelines W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cormelles W Gravelines W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cormelles W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cormelles W attacking → ← attacking Gravelines W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cormelles W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gravelines W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Cormelles W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gravelines W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 15
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arras W22172359:1875
2Le Mans W22171462:2474
3Gravelines W22136352:1867
4Compiegne Club Oise W22132747:3163
5Dijon W22831134:3349
6Amiens W22821236:4348
7Mars Bischheim W22821236:4848
8Rouen W22741126:4147
9Cormelles W22661056:6046
10Metz W22651118:4045
11Bagneux W22461221:5040
12Gonfreville W22431513:5437
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Issy W22161564:2971
2La Roche W22145367:2969
3Orvault W22142652:2666
4Montigny-le-Bretonneux W22141769:2765
5Bordeaux W22114742:2559
6Angers W22113845:4258
7Conde-sur-Noireau W22104845:3656
8F.A.S Herblay W22921145:3548
9ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W22571023:4244
10USC Corne W22551219:4642
11Tours W22361324:6137
12Rennes W22002215:11219
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toulouse W22192189:2081
2Albi-Marssac W22154356:2371
3Monteux W22126456:2064
4Grenoble W22118354:3063
5Nimes W22115641:3360
6Le Puy W22104846:2956
7Veore Montoison W22103942:4755
8Aurillac W2294949:5653
9US Blanzy Foot W22531434:6240
10Macon W22431533:5637
11Chatenoy W22221825:8030
12ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W22121919:8824