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Cornella vs Vilassar de Mar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Nou Municipal de Cornella, Cornella de Llobregat
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Ajani M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Cornella and Vilassar de Mar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cornella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cornella
30%
Draws
18%
Vilassar de Mar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cornella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cornella come out ahead of Vilassar de Mar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cornella's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cornella Clean Sheet 20%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cornella Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.29 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cornella
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs Vilassar de Mar
1:0
Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cornella
1:1
Oct 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs Vilassar de Mar
3:1
Mar 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs Cornella
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cornella Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cornella 85 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cornella Vilassar de Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cornella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Cornella stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cornella's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vilassar de Mar let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cornella VS Vilassar de Mar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cornella

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
19 Sept
Cornella
0 : 0
L Hospitalet
12 Sept
Cornella
3 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
29 Aug
Barcelona B
1 : 2
Cornella
Page 1 of 6

Vilassar de Mar

(Away)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
30 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
Espanyol B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)