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Cornelly vs Goytre Utd

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goytre Utd in this FA Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cornelly
15%
Draws
46%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Goytre Utd have won more games recently than Cornelly.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Goytre Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Goytre Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Cornelly Clean Sheet 19%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cornelly Goytre Utd
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Cornelly vs Goytre Utd
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cornelly 31 / 100
Goytre Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cornelly Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cornelly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cornelly scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Defensive concern: Goytre Utd conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Goytre Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goytre Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cornelly

(Home)
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2
Cornelly
08 Nov
Cornelly
1 : 5
Goytre Utd
04 Oct
Cornelly
1 : 0
Pontardawe

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Carno FC 0
STM Sports 0
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 5
Sully Sports 2
Llwydcoed 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Holywell Town FC 4
Hay St. Marys 2
Welshpool 0
Mold Alexandra 4
Waterloo Rovers 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Ruthin Town 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Dinas Powys 0
Ton Pentre 0
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 3
Llay Welfare 1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Llanfair United 3
Meliden 3
Rhydymwyn 0
Llangefni 3
St. Asaph 6
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 0
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llangollen 3
Llandrindod 2
Brynford 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Tiger Bay 3
Trefelin 2
Butetown FC 2
Dynamo Aber 4
Llanberis FC 6
Nantlle Vale FC 5
Llandudno FC 0
Caersws FC 1
Conwy Borough 2
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 0
Denbigh 3
Aberdare Town 4
Barry Town 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 4
Garden Village 9
AFC Porth 0
Canton 1
Risca United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 3
Cardiff Corries 1
Cambrian United 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Flint Town 1
Gaerwen 0
Llanidloes Town 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
Taffs Well 0
Caerau Ely 3
Llanrhaeadr 4
Glan Conwy FC 2
Kerry 1
Brickfield Rangers 2
Marshfield 2
Tata Steel 1
Chepstow Town 0
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 4
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 0
Cornelly 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Waterloo Rovers 0
Buckley 6
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 2
Llanfair United 1
Meliden 0
St. Asaph 1
Caernarfon 1
Guilsfield 0
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
Llangollen 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 5
Tiger Bay 3
Dynamo Aber 2
Llanberis FC 0
Caersws FC 3
Conwy Borough 5
Denbigh 0
Aberdare Town 1
Briton Ferry 5
Garden Village 2
Risca United 1
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Llanidloes Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Brickfield Rangers 1
Marshfield 1
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 5
Cornelly 1
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Haverfordwest 0
Prestatyn 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Buckley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 5
Connahs Q. 5
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot 1
Bala 2
Gresford 5
St. Asaph 0
Caernarfon 2
TNS 3
Newtown 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 0
Tiger Bay 0
Caersws FC 4
Conwy Borough 4
Briton Ferry 3
Garden Village 0
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Caerau Ely 5
Llanrhaeadr 3
Afan Lido 0
Goytre Utd 1
Rhyl 2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Holywell Town FC 0
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 2
Gresford 0
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Caersws FC 2
Conwy Borough 0
Bangor City 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Caerau Ely 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Rhyl 4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 1
Newtown 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Rhyl 2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 4
Newtown 2
Rhyl 1
Final
TNS 2
Newtown 0