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Stadium Background

Correcaminos vs Atlante

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Marte R. Gómez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Correcaminos play Atlante in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Correcaminos averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Atlante averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Correcaminos won 1, Atlante won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Correcaminos and 2.00 for Atlante. This points to a Atlante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Correcaminos
26%
Draws
52%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Correcaminos picked up more points recently compared to Atlante.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correcaminos Atlante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Atlante
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Correcaminos
5:1
Apr 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Atlante
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Correcaminos
3:1
Apr 12, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Atlante vs Correcaminos
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correcaminos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Puente L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correcaminos 22 / 100
Atlante 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correcaminos Atlante

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atlante or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Correcaminos attacking → ← attacking Atlante

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correcaminos scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atlante let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Correcaminos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atlante lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 49
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511