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Correggese vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Correggese play Lentigione in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Correggese averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Lentigione averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Correggese won 0, Lentigione won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Correggese and 1.38 for Lentigione. This points to a Lentigione double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Correggese
35%
Draws
40%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Correggese picked up more points recently compared to Lentigione.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Correggese Clean Sheet 17%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Lentigione
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Lentigione
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Correggese
1:0
Feb 8, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Lentigione
0:0
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Correggese
1:1
May 25, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Correggese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandrini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 26 / 100
Lentigione 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Lentigione

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lentigione or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Correggese attacking → ← attacking Lentigione

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correggese scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Lentigione let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Correggese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lentigione lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738