Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Piacenza

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Correggese play Piacenza in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Correggese averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Piacenza averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Correggese won 2, Piacenza won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Correggese and 1.50 for Piacenza. This points to a Piacenza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Correggese

15%

Draws

54%

Piacenza

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Correggese picked up more points recently compared to Piacenza.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Correggese Clean Sheet 16%

Piacenza Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Correggese	Piacenza
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	19
Draws	8	4
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.1	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Correggese vs Piacenza

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D

Piacenza vs Correggese

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Correggese

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Mar 29, 2015 Serie D - Group D

Correggese vs Piacenza

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 16, 2014 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Correggese

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Errichiello A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustacchio M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sbardella L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 31 / 100

Piacenza 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Correggese Piacenza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (2)

Secondary Pick Piacenza & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Correggese attacking → ← attacking Piacenza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correggese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Piacenza let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Correggese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Piacenza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 61

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8