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Correggese vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Guerrini S.
74' Event
Barbatosta D.

AI Match Summary

Correggese host Sant'Angelo in the Serie D - Group D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sant'Angelo have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Correggese have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Correggese have won 2 to Sant'Angelo's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.88 - 1.31) back Sant'Angelo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Correggese
30%
Draws
23%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Correggese come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
  • Correggese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Correggese Clean Sheet 18%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
0:3
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Correggese
2:1
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Correggese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbatosta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 41 / 100
Sant'Angelo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Correggese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Correggese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Sant'Angelo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
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Sant'Angelo

(Away)
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2
Castellanzese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)