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Correggese vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Taparelli T.
55' Event
Bramante S.
66' Event
Sacca M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Correggese and Sant'Angelo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correggese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Correggese
35%
Draws
26%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Correggese and Sant'Angelo close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Correggese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Correggese
2:1
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Correggese
1:2
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Sant'Angelo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Taparelli T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sacca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bramante S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 95 / 100
Sant'Angelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correggese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Correggese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Correggese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Sant'Angelo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
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Sant'Angelo

(Away)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)