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Correggese vs Trevigliese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
de Respinis A.
53' Event
Driss E. B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Correggese
35%
Draws
14%
Trevigliese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Trevigliese haven't matched Correggese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Correggese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Trevigliese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Trevigliese
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Correggese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Driss E. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer de Respinis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 95 / 100
Trevigliese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Trevigliese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correggese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trevigliese conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Correggese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Correggese's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Trevigliese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
Page 1 of 7

Trevigliese

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)