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Correggese vs USD Casatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
57' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

USD Casatese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Correggese
35%
Draws
20%
USD Casatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Correggese.
  • Model gives Correggese a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese USD Casatese
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs USD Casatese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 50 / 100
USD Casatese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese USD Casatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correggese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Correggese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Correggese's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

USD Casatese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS USD Casatese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
Page 1 of 6

USD Casatese

(Away)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Pro Patria 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
3 Lentigione 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
4 Pro Sesto 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
5 Correggese 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
6 Sant'Angelo 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Varesina 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 USD Casatese 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 Cittadella Vis Modena 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Castellanzese 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
11 Oltrepo 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 Pavia 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
13 Varese FC 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Solbiatese 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
15 Tropical Coriano 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Crema 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Arconatese 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
18 US Pontedera 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)