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Cortes vs Bidezarra

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15
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Match Events

90' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Cortes and Bidezarra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cortes
35%
Draws
39%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bidezarra haven't matched Cortes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bidezarra's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cortes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cortes Clean Sheet 16%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Bidezarra
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.16 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Bidezarra
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Bidezarra
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Cortes
0:1
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Cortes
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Bidezarra
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 23 / 100
Bidezarra 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bidezarra conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cortes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Bidezarra
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
Page 1 of 7

Bidezarra

(Away)
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Ezcabarte 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
3 Aoiz 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mutilvera 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Beti Kozkor 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Doneztebe FT 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
7 Subiza 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 AD San Juan 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
9 Gazte Berriak 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Cortes 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 CD Cantolagua 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
12 CD Beti Onak 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Huarte 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Pamplona 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Bidezarra 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Valle Egues 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
17 Cirbonero 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
18 Txantrea 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)