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Cortes vs Bidezarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Vazquez J.

AI Match Summary

Cortes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Cortes
30%
Draws
62%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cortes at 1.07 per game, Bidezarra at 1.
  • Bidezarra are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cortes Clean Sheet 17%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Bidezarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Bidezarra
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Cortes
0:1
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Cortes
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Bidezarra
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Cortes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bidezarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 20 / 100
Bidezarra 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cortes scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Bidezarra let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cortes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Bidezarra
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

Bidezarra

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Pamplona
3 : 1
Bidezarra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)