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Cortes vs Burlades

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bouguettaya T.
45' Event
Bouguettaya T.
60' Event
Lalaguna J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Cortes and Burlades finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cortes
20%
Draws
64%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burlades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Burlades haven't matched Cortes's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cortes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cortes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cortes Clean Sheet 16%
Burlades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Burlades
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Burlades
5:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cortes
1:3
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Cortes
0:2
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Burlades
2:0
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Burlades
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouguettaya T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lalaguna J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Burlades Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 36 / 100
Burlades 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cortes scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Burlades has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
Page 1 of 7

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)