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Cortes vs CD Cantolagua

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Bouguettaya T.
68' Event
Puertas A.
75' Event
Lahuerta Tudanca J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Cortes and CD Cantolagua finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cortes
39%
Draws
31%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Cantolagua haven't matched Cortes's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cortes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cortes Clean Sheet 19%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cortes
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
3:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cortes
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouguettaya T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puertas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Cantolagua Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 31 / 100
CD Cantolagua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes CD Cantolagua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Cantolagua conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cortes found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Cortes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mutilvera34237461:2276
2Valle Egues34236563:2175
3AD San Juan341810656:2664
4Cortes34188848:2862
5Pena341513655:2858
6Txantrea34169958:4957
7Huarte34169954:3957
8CD Ardoi341671141:3055
9Pamplona3413111045:4350
10Cirbonero3411121146:3945
11Bidezarra3410141039:4144
12Beti Kozkor349101538:4837
13CA Artajones347121536:5733
14CD Beti Onak34961932:5033
15Burlades34682047:7326
16Rotxapea34582139:8323
17CD Gares34572225:6322
18CD Cantolagua34392232:7518