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Cortes vs Erriberri

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 game between Cortes and Erriberri finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cortes
20%
Draws
64%
Erriberri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erriberri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cortes come out ahead of Erriberri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cortes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cortes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cortes Clean Sheet 15%
Erriberri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Erriberri
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Erriberri
3:0
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Cortes
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Cortes
0:1
Oct 24, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Erriberri
1:0
Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Cortes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 39 / 100
Erriberri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Erriberri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cortes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Erriberri let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Erriberri registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Erriberri
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
Page 1 of 6

Erriberri

(Away)
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
13 May
Burlades
2 : 2
Erriberri
07 May
Erriberri
2 : 0
CD River Ega
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 0
Erriberri
23 Apr
Erriberri
0 : 4
Txantrea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)