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Cortes vs Lagunak

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Ither M.

AI Match Summary

Cortes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cortes
30%
Draws
47%
Lagunak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lagunak haven't matched Cortes's recent run of results.
  • Lagunak are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cortes Clean Sheet 16%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Lagunak
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Lagunak
1:0
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Cortes
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Lagunak
1:0
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Cortes
1:0
Apr 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Lagunak
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ither M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Lagunak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 19 / 100
Lagunak 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Lagunak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Lagunak let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Cortes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
Page 1 of 7

Lagunak

(Away)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)