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Cortes vs Pamplona Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mahugo M.

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cortes
35%
Draws
32%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Cortes.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Pamplona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cortes Clean Sheet 15%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Pamplona
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.16 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Pamplona
0:0
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Pamplona
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Cortes
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Pamplona
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Cortes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahugo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 27 / 100
Pamplona 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pamplona conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Cortes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Pamplona
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Cortes
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
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Pamplona

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)