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Cortes vs Rotxapea

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Delgado D.
42' Event
Garde U.
51' Event
Darboe L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Cortes and Rotxapea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cortes
20%
Draws
64%
Rotxapea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotxapea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cortes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cortes Clean Sheet 19%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Rotxapea
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.18 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Rotxapea
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs Cortes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darboe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rotxapea Compare

Top Goalscorer Garde U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 36 / 100
Rotxapea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Rotxapea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotxapea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotxapea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Cortes found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Rotxapea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 7

Rotxapea

(Away)
10 May
Rotxapea
2 : 4
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Rotxapea
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 2
Rotxapea
12 Apr
Rotxapea
1 : 4
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)