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Cortes vs Valtierrano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2014/2015 game between Cortes and Valtierrano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cortes
20%
Draws
40%
Valtierrano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cortes come out ahead of Valtierrano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cortes a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cortes here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cortes Clean Sheet 19%
Valtierrano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Valtierrano
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.24 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Cortes
0:1
Oct 29, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Valtierrano
2:0
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Valtierrano
2:1
Nov 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Cortes
1:4
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Valtierrano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 85 / 100
Valtierrano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Valtierrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cortes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valtierrano let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Cortes found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (38 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Valtierrano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
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Valtierrano

(Away)
13 May
CD Corellano
5 : 0
Valtierrano
06 May
Valtierrano
0 : 0
Txantrea
29 Apr
Oberena
3 : 0
Valtierrano
22 Apr
Valtierrano
1 : 3
Cirbonero
13 Apr
Idoya
3 : 0
Valtierrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 28 5 5 71:30 89
2 AD San Juan 38 25 6 7 53:16 81
3 Izarra 38 21 10 7 68:35 73
4 Osasuna B 38 21 9 8 64:31 72
5 Mutilvera 38 19 10 9 65:39 67
6 Oberena 38 18 8 12 56:43 62
7 Cortes 38 16 9 13 47:48 57
8 Burlades 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
9 Huarte 38 16 8 14 51:44 56
10 Iruna 38 15 8 15 46:45 53
11 Txantrea 38 13 12 13 56:53 51
12 Valle Egues 38 13 9 16 65:63 48
13 Cirbonero 38 12 10 16 44:48 46
14 CD Ardoi 38 13 5 20 42:52 44
15 Subiza 38 11 8 19 52:77 41
16 Pamplona 38 10 11 17 40:55 41
17 CD Beti Onak 38 9 12 17 39:58 39
18 Idoya 38 11 4 23 35:69 37
19 Valtierrano 38 5 9 24 31:75 24
20 CD Corellano 38 4 5 29 27:78 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)