Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Corticella play San Donnino in the Serie D - Group D 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Corticella averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. San Donnino averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Corticella won 2, San Donnino won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Corticella and 1.19 for San Donnino. This points to a Corticella double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Corticella picked up more points recently compared to San Donnino.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Corticella | San Donnino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Corticella Compare
San Donnino Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Corticella scored in 55% of their last 33 games.
San Donnino let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Corticella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
San Donnino lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carpi | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 66:31 | 68 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 56:13 | 66 |
| 3 | Corticella | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 59:40 | 57 |
| 4 | Victor San Marino | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Lentigione | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 49:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Forli FC | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:35 | 55 |
| 7 | Prato | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 37:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Sangiuliano City | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 9 | Fanfulla | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | 43 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:44 | 41 |
| 11 | Aglianese Calcio | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Imolese | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 31:33 | 40 |
| 13 | Sammaurese | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37:48 | 37 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 27:43 | 37 |
| 15 | San Donnino | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 32:58 | 25 |
| 16 | Certaldo | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 23:50 | 21 |
| 18 | Pistoiese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |