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Corumbaense vs Ivinhema

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Corumbaense and Ivinhema finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corumbaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Corumbaense
30%
Draws
29%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ivinhema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Corumbaense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 17%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Ivinhema
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Ivinhema
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Corumbaense
6:1
Feb 24, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Ivinhema
4:1
Jan 27, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Corumbaense
2:2
Mar 11, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Ivinhema
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 84 / 100
Ivinhema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Corumbaense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Corumbaense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS Ivinhema
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corumbaense

(Home)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 6

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)