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Corumbaense vs Maracaju

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Corumbaense Logo

Corumbaense

0 - 1
FT
Maracaju Logo

Maracaju

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Corumbaense and Maracaju finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corumbaense
20%
Draws
40%
Maracaju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Corumbaense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Corumbaense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 20%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Maracaju
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Maracaju
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 85 / 100
Maracaju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Maracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corumbaense scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Maracaju conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

Corumbaense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS Maracaju
1 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Corumbaense

(Home)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 7

Maracaju

(Away)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)