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Corumbaense vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Corumbaense and Operario MS finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Corumbaense
17%
Draws
13%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Corumbaense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Operario MS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 12%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Operario MS
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Operario MS
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Operario MS
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
2:1
Mar 5, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Corumbaense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 65 / 100
Operario MS 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corumbaense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Operario MS conceded in 66% of 41 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Corumbaense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS Operario MS
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS-
TBD-
Corumbaense3
Dourados1
Naviraiense-
TBD-
Ivinhema5
Bataguassu6
Semi-finals
Operario MS4
Corumbaense2
Naviraiense1
Bataguassu4
Final
Operario MS5
Bataguassu2