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Coruripe vs CSA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estadio Gerson Amaral, Coruripe
Coruripe Logo

Coruripe

2 - 1
FT
CSA Logo

CSA

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lopes dos Santos F.
(Penalty)
65' Event
de Melo M. A.
70' Event
Joao Vitor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Coruripe
20%
Draws
23%
CSA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSA come out ahead of Coruripe on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coruripe a 57% chance of winning this.
  • CSA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 68%
CSA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coruripe CSA
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs CSA
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs Coruripe
3:0
Jan 29, 2025 Alagoano
Coruripe vs CSA
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs CSA
0:1
Jan 31, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs CSA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coruripe Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer de Melo M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coruripe 59 / 100
CSA 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coruripe CSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coruripe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSA conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Coruripe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CSA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSA
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coruripe

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

CSA

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)