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Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gonzalez J. D.
50' Event
Vazquez K.
56' Event
Ouhdadi O.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coruxo FC
33%
Draws
27%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Coruxo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ourense CF haven't matched Coruxo FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coruxo FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Coruxo FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coruxo FC Ourense CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Coruxo FC
5:1
Dec 2, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo FC vs Ourense CF
1:1
Nov 6, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Coruxo FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coruxo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouhdadi O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coruxo FC 50 / 100
Ourense CF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coruxo FC Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coruxo FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ourense CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Coruxo FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coruxo FC VS Ourense CF
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%