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Stadium Background

Cosenza vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Di Pasquale D.
39'
Caporale A.
45'
Ciotti P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Cosenza and Crotone finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cosenza
30%
Draws
37%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cosenza come out ahead of Crotone on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 12%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosenza Crotone
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Crotone
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Cosenza
0:0
Feb 23, 2022 Serie B
Crotone vs Cosenza
3:3
Sep 25, 2021 Serie B
Cosenza vs Crotone
1:0
Jan 20, 2020 Serie B
Cosenza vs Crotone
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cosenza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Pasquale D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piovanello E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosenza 30 / 100
Crotone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosenza Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cosenza's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crotone has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cosenza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cosenza VS Crotone
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosenza

(Home)
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0
Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
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Crotone

(Away)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)