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Stadium Background

Cosenza vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Celeghin E.
46'
Sub
Dametto P. In: Moretti A.
Out: Dametto P.
46'
Sub
Cannavo K. In: Baez J.
Out: Cannavo K.

AI Match Summary

Cosenza in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cosenza
30%
Draws
23%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cosenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 20%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosenza Trapani
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Trapani
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Cosenza
1:1
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Trapani vs Cosenza
1:1
Jun 29, 2020 Serie B
Cosenza vs Trapani
2:2
Nov 10, 2019 Serie B
Trapani vs Cosenza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosenza 31 / 100
Trapani 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosenza Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cosenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cosenza scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Trapani's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cosenza VS Trapani
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosenza

(Home)
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
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Trapani

(Away)
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)