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Cosmopolites vs Cavaly

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Mon, May 24, 2021
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cosmopolites host Cavaly in the Championnat National 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cosmopolites have averaged 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Cavaly's 1.45 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Cavaly slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.63) point toward Cavaly. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cosmopolites
30%
Draws
23%
Cavaly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cosmopolites

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavaly come out ahead of Cosmopolites on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cosmopolites a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavaly have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Cosmopolites Clean Sheet 20%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosmopolites Cavaly
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2021 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Cavaly
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Cosmopolites
2:0
Feb 29, 2020 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Cavaly
0:2
Sep 8, 2019 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Cosmopolites
2:0
Mar 10, 2019 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Cavaly
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosmopolites 42 / 100
Cavaly 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosmopolites Cavaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cosmopolites went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cavaly registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cosmopolites scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Cavaly conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cosmopolites VS Cavaly
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
17% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosmopolites

(Home)
27 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 0
Rivartibonitienne
21 Apr
Baltimore
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
11 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
07 Apr
Tempete
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
30 Mar
Rivartibonitienne
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
Page 1 of 6

Cavaly

(Away)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)