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Cosmos Nowotaniec vs MKS Wierna Malogoszcz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2016/2017 game between Cosmos Nowotaniec and MKS Wierna Malogoszcz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cosmos Nowotaniec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cosmos Nowotaniec
33%
Draws
27%
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cosmos Nowotaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Wierna Malogoszcz haven't matched Cosmos Nowotaniec's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cosmos Nowotaniec a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cosmos Nowotaniec Clean Sheet 16%
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosmos Nowotaniec MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Cosmos Nowotaniec vs MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
2:1
Aug 28, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz vs Cosmos Nowotaniec
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosmos Nowotaniec 39 / 100
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosmos Nowotaniec MKS Wierna Malogoszcz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MKS Wierna Malogoszcz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Cosmos Nowotaniec scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Cosmos Nowotaniec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cosmos Nowotaniec VS MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosmos Nowotaniec

(Home)
15 Feb
Izolator Boguchwala
1 : 3
Cosmos Nowotaniec
08 Feb
Glinik/Karpatia Gorlice
4 : 4
Cosmos Nowotaniec
17 Jun
Cosmos Nowotaniec
2 : 3
Sola Oswiecim
11 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 1
Cosmos Nowotaniec
04 Jun
Cosmos Nowotaniec
0 : 3
Orleta Radzyn
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MKS Wierna Malogoszcz

(Away)
12 Feb
Orleta Kielce
5 : 1
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
11 Jun
KS Karpaty Krosno
1 : 1
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
03 Jun
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
0 : 0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
26 May
Avia Swidnik
2 : 3
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
20 May
MKS Wierna Malogoszcz
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garbarnia32215655:2968
2Motor Lublin32205762:2965
3S. Rzeszow32204870:3264
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski32187748:3561
5R. Rzeszow32168850:3956
6Sola Oswiecim32159858:4454
7KS Karpaty Krosno3211101137:4243
8Podhale Nowy Targ321341547:5143
9Jaroslaw321191246:4542
10Orleta Radzyn321181353:5841
11Unia Tarnow3210101239:4440
12Trzebinia Siersza321221851:5438
13Avia Swidnik32991436:5036
14Spartakus Daleszyce32891538:5833
15Biala Podlaska32881634:4932
16Cosmos Nowotaniec32671930:5325
17MKS Wierna Malogoszcz32442432:7416
18Wisla II00000:00
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2016/2017 (Play Offs)