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Costa Amalfi vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fabiano R.
33' Event
Elefante S.
45' Event
Elefante S.

AI Match Summary

Acerrana in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acerrana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Costa Amalfi
15%
Draws
0%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Amalfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Acerrana have won more games recently than Costa Amalfi.
  • Win probability leans Costa Amalfi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Acerrana
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 0.8 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Acerrana
1:4
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Costa Amalfi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Elefante S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fabiano R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 86 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Amalfi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acerrana let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Acerrana lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Costa Amalfi found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Acerrana
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Amalfi

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)