Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Amalfi vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
De Sio R.
90' Event
Cappiello G.
90' Event
Martinelli P.

AI Match Summary

Costa Amalfi in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Amalfi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Costa Amalfi
15%
Draws
36%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Amalfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Angri have won more games recently than Costa Amalfi.
  • Model gives Costa Amalfi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Amalfi Angri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Costa Amalfi
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Angri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Amalfi Compare

Top Goalscorer De Sio R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cappiello G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Amalfi 68 / 100
Angri 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Amalfi Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Amalfi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Angri lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa Amalfi found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Costa Amalfi VS Angri
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Amalfi

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)